While the Fed is projecting growth, four key threats could derail the economy in 2026: policy-driven inflation, "stagflation lite," consumer exhaustion and a potential artificial intelligence bubble. While these "aren't necessarily recession triggers on their own, they could compound into something more serious if they collide," McInnis says.

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses prepare for a recession? A recession is a major downturn in a ...

Before war erupted in the Middle East three weeks ago, there were already warning signs building in the global economy.

Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month US recession probability to 25 percent, up five points from January.

“U.S. Economic Growth Expected to Flatline in 2025. Tariffs Are the Main Reason.” – Barron’s (April 15, 2025) “If they don’t change the tariffs, it’s ...

The recession has had a widely varying effect on charities in Europe, said speakers at this week’s International Fundraising Congress in Noordwijkerhout, the Netherlands. Among them: Adrian Sargeant, a British researcher at the Indiana University Center ...

The Great Recession from 2007-09 saw GDP fall 4.3%, the biggest drop since the Great Depression. Deregulation in the 2000s and excessive risk by banks were major causes of the financial crisis. Post-recession, it took the Dow until 2013 to recover, while ...

Recession has been a term thrown around a lot in the past several years. Even though the stock market is back near record highs, trade tariffs, continued inflationary concerns and unknown effects from other economic policies of the Trump administration ...

Goldman Sachs updated its recession forecast on Sunday to increase the probability of a recession amid President Donald Trump's tariff war, adding that its analysis may be downgraded further if more tariffs take effect. Economists led by Jan Hatzius wrote ...